Thursday, July 29th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
Given the passions aroused in the Arizona debate – and the recurring fights about immigration over the last few years – it's fair to wonder about how this plays out in day-to-day interactions. Overall, immigrants themselves paint a picture of a country where they fit in well. In Public Agenda's survey of immigrants, A Place to Call Home, we found most immigrants said they felt comfortable in the United States pretty quickly.
More than three-quarters (77 percent) say that it takes fewer than five years to "feel comfortable here and part of the community," and nearly half (47 percent) said it took fewer than two. Seven in 10 say they'd do it all over again if they had the chance.
Such easy comfort with their adopted home comes despite some formidable obstacles. Just more than three quarters (76 percent) say that they came to the United States with "very little money," and only 20 percent say they had "a good amount of money to get started." Some 45 percent say that they came to this country not speaking any English at all, an increase of 10 points since 2002.
There are some indications, however, that when it comes to being "comfortable" in communities, other immigrants play a critical role. Compared to 2002, more immigrants say that they spend time with people from their birth country and have closer ties there. Half of the immigrants we surveyed (51 percent) say they spend "a lot" of time with people from their birth country, a jump of 14 points from 2002.
And when it comes to discrimination, most immigrants say it exists, but most also say they don't run into it personally. More than six in 10 immigrants say there's some discrimination against immigrants in the United States today, and one in five say there's “a great deal” of discrimination. But only 9 percent of immigrants say that they have personally experienced “a great deal” of discrimination, with another 16 percent reporting that they experienced "some." And while Mexican immigrants are more likely to say there's a great deal of discrimination against immigrants, they're no more likely to say they've experienced it personally.
Thursday, July 22nd, 2010 | Scott Bittle
More states are expected to sign up for the standards in English and math, which are a key part of the Obama administration's "race to the top" program and also have strong backing from the nation's governors and chief school officers. But the idea still causes intense debate among educators and others.
In our research, Public Agenda has consistently found that the public supports the idea of standards, and has for some time. In our most recent look at this, our "Are We Beginning to See the Light?" survey on math and science education, strong majorities of both parents and the public said establishing a national curriculum would help improve math education (about half of both groups) said it would help "a lot."
It's also important to note that curriculum and standards are not what's bothering parents and the public most about schools. When participants in our math and science education survey were asked about the most pressing problem facing local high schools, some 63 percent of parents and 56 percent of the public cited "social problems and kids who misbehave." Only about three in 10 cited "low academic standards and outdated curricula."
National standards may well be a major step forward for improving American schools – but the public sees safe and orderly schools as a pressing concern, and that deserves to be addressed as well.
Editor's note: This post has been edited to correct the number of states that have adopted the common core standards; as of July 23, the count is 26 states and the District of Columbia.
Tuesday, July 20th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
As recently as February, the Pew survey found the public evenly split on reducing the deficit versus spending more to help the economy (47 percent each). Now the deficit comes out ahead, 51 percent to 40 percent.
Reducing the deficit also beats out cutting taxes by a similar margin (51 percent to 41 percent).
Yet as we've noted before, surveys show the economy consistently beats out the deficit (and everything else for that matter) as the public's biggest concern. So what's the deal? We think the answer lies in the other big takeaway in this survey, headlined "Gov't Economic Policies Seen as Boon for Banks and Big Business, Not Middle Class or Poor." As Pew puts it:
The public sees clear winners and losers from the economic policies the government has implemented since the recession of 2008. Most Americans say these policies have helped large banks, large corporations and the wealthy, while providing little or no help for the poor, the middle class or small businesses.
Strong majorities say the government has done a "great deal" or a "fair amount" to help banks (74 percent), large corporations (70 percent) and the wealthy (57 percent). And majorities also say that the government has helped other groups "not too much" or "not at all", like small business (68 percent), middle-class people (68 percent) and poor people (64 percent).
Add to that the fact that relatively few people surveyed by Pew say they've seen direct effects from the stimulus. Two-thirds say it's increased the budget deficit, but only 43 percent say they believe it has led to improvements in roads, bridges and other infrastructure in their area. A mere one-third say the stimulus helped keep unemployment from getting even worse, and 29 percent say it helped state and local governments avoid layoffs and budget cuts.
Economists can and do argue that this isn't an either/or choice; that the nation can both spend more now to push the economy and make progress on its long-term budget problems. Given perceptions like this, however, it's no surprise that the public is skeptical.
Thursday, July 15th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
The nation's governors vowed this week to tackle America's dismal college completion rate – and Public Agenda's work points to some of the hurdles and possible solutions in getting more students across the finish line.
At the National Governors' Association conference, the organization unveiled "Complete to Compete," a new effort to build common metrics and develop "best practices" for states to improve completion rates. Right now, only 20 percent of students at two-year colleges finish in three years, and 40 percent of those at four-year schools finish in six years.
One thing Public Agenda's research shows pretty clearly is that many of the common views about why students don't finish college don't hold up. The image of the college student for many people is still the full-timer who's supported by their parents. But in fact, our "With Their Whole Lives Ahead of Them" survey finds that most students leave college because they're working to support themselves and attend school at the same time. Students who drop out are almost twice as likely to cite problems juggling work and school as their main problem as they are to blame tuition bills (54 percent to 31 percent).
And what do students say would help? Flexibility. Eight in 10 young adults we surveyed who did not complete college supported making it possible for part-time students to be eligible for more financial aid and offering more courses in the evening and on weekends, to fit around their work schedules.
But college completion touches on a host of challenges about how higher education could operate better. Public Agenda is currently working in Texas and Arizona to help state leaders engage such critical stakeholders as college students, presidents and faculty as part of the Lumina Foundation's efforts to enhance higher education productivity in order to increase completion while controlling costs.
Wednesday, July 14th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
Public concern about the deficit is rising, some argue. But jobs are more important, others say. Both are true. The distinction that's often being missed is between the public's short-term and long-term concerns.
There's no question the economy is a much higher priority than the national debt and the budget deficit for the public right now. Let's take, for example, the CBS News/New York Times poll released yesterday. A plurality (38 percent) say the economy and jobs are the most important problem facing the country today, followed by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan (13 percent), heath care (6 percent), the budget deficit/national debt (5 percent) and the Gulf oil spill (also 5 percent).
Other surveys have found similar results, and that's not surprising. In April, Gallup found one in five Americans fear losing their job over the next year.
But the public also thinks the deficit could be the most important problem in the future. When Gallup asked what the most important problem might be 25 years from now, the most popular answer given was the federal budget deficit (14 percent), closely followed by the economy and the environment (both 11 percent). That's the first time the deficit has led the list, and the first time it's drawn more than 5 percent responses, according to Gallup.
Among policymakers, of course, the debate over the past several weeks has been whether the federal government needs to keep spending to stimulate the economy or should start pulling back to control the deficit. Both sides are treating it as an either-or choice, and citing surveys to prove their point.
Yet a number of economists and policymakers have argued that there's no contradiction between the two choices, and that we could take steps to control the long-term fiscal problem while continuing a stimulus plan now. The surveys do show that there's a difference in the public's perception of the biggest problem now (the economy) and what could be the biggest problem in the future, our unsustainable federal budget. Both of those problems are very real – and the fact that the public sees both of them as real could be a huge asset for policymakers as they grapple with solutions.
Wednesday, July 14th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
Facts are stubborn things, John Adams once declared. But so, apparently, are people.
There's been a lot of attention this week to research suggesting, as the Boston Globe put it, that "facts don't necessarily have the power to change our minds. In fact, quite the opposite." Studies show people with strong partisan views not only reject conflicting information but are likely to hold onto their misconceptions even more strongly. (Here's a roundup of commentary on this point).
This research isn't new, but one reason why it may resonate is the concern among many commentators that people are more prone to getting their information from sources that fit their preconceptions – the quality Stephen Colbert famously defined as "truthiness." Even setting that aside, surveys continue to show wide gaps in how Republicans and Democrats perceive problems. That includes our own Confidence in U.S. Foreign Policy Index, which found Republicans getting significantly more anxious about global affairs, even as Democrats' belief that the U.S. was "on the right track" jumped 41 points.
So is it hopeless to even try to give people authenticated facts and balanced information to consider as they make decisions in politics? Should journalists and good government groups who try to promote better understanding of issues just throw in the towel?
First off, not everyone is a political partisan, and even those with strong political views may not hold them on every subject. Most Americans aren't up to speed on every problem facing the nation. How could they be? There's a flood of information out there, but only so much time in the day to keep up with the topics you're interested in, much less everything else.
Secondly, clearly people do change their minds as they get more information. Surveys show this time and again: on equal opportunity for women, on gay rights, on race relations, the war in Iraq, even offshore drilling, there have been huge shifts in public opinion as people have absorbed new ideas and had time to think about them. Sometimes it happens quickly; more often the process can take time, years or even decades. But there's no doubt that it happens.
Friday, July 9th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
When it comes to complicated problems, like energy and climate, public thinking goes through a "learning curve." The learning curve runs through several stages, from initially learning about an issue to "working through" the different alternatives and finally to a resolution, according to Public Agenda's founder, Dan Yankelovich. This can be a long process, and there are a lot of potential hurdles that can block progress. Scientists and policymakers, in particular, often believe that more information is the answer, but information is only one element in public thinking.
The hardest part of this process is the middle stage of "working through," where the public weighs a particular problem against other priorities, and various options to solving it against each other. This takes time, and there are a lot of potential roadblocks, like wishful thinking, mistrust, a lack of urgency, and a lack of clear alternatives.
On energy, the public is certainly wrestling with a lack of knowledge, but the question of whether climate change is real or not is only a piece of that puzzle. Four in 10 Americans can't name a fossil fuel, and even more can't name a renewable energy source. People overestimate the amount of oil we have domestically and the amount of energy we get from renewables.
So even if Americans believe we need to overhaul our energy policy – and surveys show they do – they're hampered in dealing with the options to making that change happen. The decisions needed to change our energy mix require serious tradeoffs based on economics, technology and politics. Without key facts and clear choices, the public can't judge what's realistic and what's not, and that's bound to hamper constructive, practical decision making.
There are good reasons to be skeptical of whether heat waves actually change the public's sense of urgency on global warming. But even if a hot spell made the problem more urgent for the public, without better ways of working through the choices, people could still be lukewarm when it comes to buying into practical solutions.
Wednesday, July 7th, 2010 | Scott Bittle
We've got a recession to fight in the short term and a national debt that will reach unsustainable levels in the longer term.
Both of these problems absolutely have to be dealt with. There's a wide range of views on how to do that (the Washington Post's Ezra Klein tried to map this debate this morning). There are those who argue that there's room to do both short-term stimulus and long-term debt reduction, including Paul Krugman and David Walker. And even the Congressional Budget Office says there's "no intrinsic contradiction" between the two goals.
Monday, July 5th, 2010 | Ruth Wooden
In a recent report by Public Agenda for the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, six in 10 of young adults who went on to further education gave their high school counselors poor grades for their college advice, and nearly half said they felt like "just a face in the crowd." Ruth Wooden, president of Public Agenda, addressed the report's findings at the July 5, 2010, annual meeting of the American School Counselors Association in Boston. Her speech, speaking to the issues facing both high school students and their guidance counselors, is transcribed below.
Thank you for welcoming me so warmly to this meeting—and I don't say that lightly. Public opinion studies from Public Agenda often generate controversy and a fair bit of angst. Our recent study "Can I get a Little Advice Here?" did show that nearly half of young Americans who attended some college said that they "felt like a face in the crowd" when they met with their guidance counselor to talk about plans for life after high school. Moreover, the research showed that those young people who said they were poorly counseled were less likely to get financial aid and more likely to delay college, a decision that often makes it more difficult to complete a degree later on. And that's the crux of the mission I bring to your meeting today.
President Obama is only one of many leaders in government, business, education and the like who has stressed the need for the United States to increase the number of Americans with college degrees or certificates, and has urged a concerted effort to help students successfully complete their degrees. This is especially urgent at the nation's community colleges where only one in five students has earned a degree after three years. When Jacques Steinberg of the New York Times wrote about the Public Agenda research, he commented that it was "sure to provoke strong emotions among high school guidance counselors and students, to say nothing of high school graduates and their parents."
Steinberg was right on target. The research prompted extensive media coverage and robust discussion online. Not only was the response vibrant, it was also especially constructive. Rather than being defensive—an all too common response to troubling news—the American School Counselor Association and individual school counselors stepped forward right away to say the study had revealed an important problem to them as well. Patricia Nailor was quoted last week in USA Today, saying the "study serves as a wake-up call for sparking substantial, needed changes."
Since we released the report, I've learned a lot more about the counseling profession—way beyond my personal experience back in the 1960s as a student at Minnetonka High School in Excelsior, Minnesota. I know now that helping students make decisions on higher education is just one of many responsibilities that counselors take on, and that you typically work with hundreds of students. In California, I understand there are places where the ratio is 1000 to one, while the average is about 465 to one.
Individuals working in service organizations, mentoring programs and youth advocacy groups contacted Public Agenda to talk about how their work might help fill the college application information gap, especially the one facing first generation college students whose families are less familiar with their choices. That group is now the majority of our students. Six in ten students come from families where neither parent graduated from college, and the statistic that correlates the highest with college completion is if one of a student's parents graduated from college.
The response has been so intriguing that Public Agenda hopes to join with like-minded groups and individuals to convene a daylong conference in Washington, D.C., this fall or winter that would gather key stakeholders to discuss practical ways to push solutions forward. ASCA has actively pursued working with us on this conference and we thank you for your enthusiasm.
The meeting would provide several benefits: 1) it would take the conversation to the next level—beyond identifying a problem to identifying possible solutions—and help sustain the impetus for change; 2) it would offer a venue for counselors, educators, researchers, advocates, innovators and funding organizations to gather, compare notes, and make connections; and 3) it would spotlight solutions and model programs that might be replicated more widely across the country.
One such program, a pilot in twenty New York City high Schools called READY, was developed by a group called ReServe. ReServe matches older adults interested in continuing to work post retirement at work that combines purpose, passion and a modest paycheck—work now being called "encore careers." READY coaches are trained in the free application for federal student aid, essay writing and applications administration, and work ten to twelve hours a week under a counselor or principal to work specifically with kids the counselors have identified as needing additional support.
This morning, I met with two groups of your membership to get further input and suggestions about this issue. What a dynamic bunch of people: we could still be talking together, given all their ideas for strengthening this one aspect of your counseling work. I thank all of them for the time they gave me, and I was struck by the willingness to collaborate with others outside of the school building—for example, with employers, where your students' parents could be prompted to push parent involvement in ways that you can't. So could parent liaisons in the school.
Higher education institutions have been in a sellers' market for too long and should be at the table, making the college process more transparent and, frankly, less onerous. Coaching models such as the READY program could be expanded to include test-coordination responsibilities, which have expanded geometrically for too many of you, thus freeing your time for more post-secondary counseling. The advisory councils called for in the ASCA Comprehensive Model can engage all these groups much more intensely as well. And certainly, better understanding by principals, superintendents and school boards of the ASCA National Model would go a long way to standardizing the definition and appropriate roles for your profession.
But beyond the creative and thoughtful ideas I've heard today, the best inspiration of all is the enthusiasm and readiness to do whatever it might take to help put these young, deserving kids on the path to a fulfilling future. Let's stay that course—for their sake.
Friday, July 2nd, 2010 | Scott Bittle
Values and choices.
That's what so many of the problems facing the nation come down to, and on this Fourth of July weekend, it's worth thinking about what that means – and why our public debate so often veers away from that.
Consider some of the challenges we face:
- The latest long-term projections for the federal budget range from what one magazine called the "improbable" to the truly disastrous. It's a good thing those aren't our only choices. The budget debate (click here to see video of our Washington, D.C., panel discussion on this issue) is only going to get fiercer as policy leaders start edging closer to dealing with the problems of health care costs and an aging population that are driving our long-term fiscal problems. But there are practical solutions to this problem, no matter whether you're coming at this from a liberal perspective, a conservative one, or anything in between.
- Immigration reform, the subject of a major speech this week by President Obama, is another problem that's debated fiercely but stalled as far as coming to solutions. Public Agenda's own research shows that immigrants "buy in" to American values and society, but their perceptions of some of the problems can be significantly different from those of native-born Americans.
- The Gulf oil spill is still gushing, and Congress is still only creeping toward changes on energy and climate policy. The fundamental challenge is that the world needs both more energy and cleaner energy. There are ways of making that happen, but it requires all of us to think about what our options really are, and what we're willing to do to get there.
- On education, we face decisions about how we give students the support they need to turn around our nation's dismal college completion rate. In public schools, we have equally tough decisions about how to hire – and keep – the best possible teachers.
Depressing thoughts for a holiday weekend? Not at all. There are practical options available to solve all these problems. But citizens need to think about what's important to them, and consider the tradeoffs inherent in making solutions stick. Policymakers need to consider how the public thinks about these social issues, and what they need to move up the "learning curve" and make informed choices.
And, after all, the public making its own decisions is what the Fourth of July is all about.